New Forex Trading Strategy

Thursday, August 20, 2009

Forex Analysis: Which Method Is effective?

By Brad Morgan

Fundamental and technical analysis are the two vital mechanisms used in the foreign exchange market.

1. Fundamental analysis concerns itself with analyzing socio-political and economic forces and concluding their effects on the market.

2. Technical analysis on the contrary , employs graphs and charts to deduce patterns that connote price movement.

How do you pick the superior anaylsis? Research shows that traders have active prediliction for either one. The technical analysts contend that their style is the best for getting an early clue of price movements.

However, those who approve fundamental analysis will maintain that the exclusive drivers of the market prices are socio-political and economic aspects, a fact that has been proven time and again in most of the movements. They demonstrate that any interdependence between the charts and real time movements are completely by chance.

But sensibly this does not necessarily happen. Even though economic changes have a massive significance on the currency markets, it may still be possible to classify patterns in the way that the markets react after a news or in times when there are no major news.

One warning for the technical analysis believers is that there is a chance that they will be caught unprepared should interest rates suddenly change. If the trader does not read the news then there is a big likeliness that they will make a bad trading call. This can end up in a major blunder.

In the end, it is an undeniable fact that economic attributes are behind most, if not all of the chief price movements but it cannot be disbelieved that there are trends that can be predicted by technical analysis for the shorter periods. So picking up these trends while being aware and up to date on current events is the most safe way to envisage direction of future currency rates. Precise prediction is of course how one makes a profit on the FX market.

If we correlate the forex market to an elastic object, it can travel in either direction and periodically, return to the original place. Fundamentals maneuver the market. The size of the movement and its return point is predicted by technical analysis.

So when you want to profit from currency trading it is better not to concede your focus to become fixed on either one. You ought to learn to balance the use of both forms of currency market analysis to make steady profits. - 23305

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