MACD Divergence Explained
Interpreting a MACD divergence can be very useful in your trading. What does a MACD Divergence means? Just that the current price trend is running out of steam. It may not happen right away. But a MACD Divergence is a powerful hint that the market is changing. Spotting a MACD divergence correctly will only come after practice. It is easy to spot MACD crossovers and dramatic rises but not so a MACD divergence.
For example, if the price is making a series of higher highs and MACD is making a series of lower lows, something is wrong between the two. What you are looking for is when the price action and MACD do not agree.
MACD is seen as a sign that fewer and fewer traders are in the trend. No one is trading against the trend. Yet fewer and fewer traders are in the trend. Most probably the traders are getting nervous and slowly fading out of their trades.
The only traders in the trend are nervous. They are likely to exit their trade at the first sign of trouble. So if MACD is diverging from the bullish trend. As soon as the bears muster up enough guts to short, the bulls will exit and the bears will take over.
This is exactly why MACD is so powerful. It takes time to setup but when it works, it often works well. There are two powerful keys in locating times when MACD divergence is likely to represent a reversal in price.
Suppose the price action is at the double tops or double bottoms. MACD divergence can be powerful. You spot MACD divergence at this point. This is known as Exhaustion Pullback. You are making your trading plan based on the bounce/reversal or breakout of the support and resistance (S&R).
You should trade now based on rejection reversal. This is a sign that the price action is running out of steam. This indicates that there are not enough committed traders to break the support and resistance (S&R).
MACD is also used as an overbought/ oversold indicator or oscillator. Suppose you see that it has reached its overbought/ oversold range. The price action is turning normal. This is a signal that you should avoid trading at this time.
Dont think that it is overbought and everyone is buying. Dont confuse the overbought/ oversold MACD zones as trade opportunities. However, when the price reaches its extreme, you will see price exhaust and the MACD line drop back into normal zone.
These two situations along with your other tools can provide excellent trading opportunities. It is also important to note that divergence can not only be found on the MACD line and the signal line, it can also be found on the histogram. - 23305
For example, if the price is making a series of higher highs and MACD is making a series of lower lows, something is wrong between the two. What you are looking for is when the price action and MACD do not agree.
MACD is seen as a sign that fewer and fewer traders are in the trend. No one is trading against the trend. Yet fewer and fewer traders are in the trend. Most probably the traders are getting nervous and slowly fading out of their trades.
The only traders in the trend are nervous. They are likely to exit their trade at the first sign of trouble. So if MACD is diverging from the bullish trend. As soon as the bears muster up enough guts to short, the bulls will exit and the bears will take over.
This is exactly why MACD is so powerful. It takes time to setup but when it works, it often works well. There are two powerful keys in locating times when MACD divergence is likely to represent a reversal in price.
Suppose the price action is at the double tops or double bottoms. MACD divergence can be powerful. You spot MACD divergence at this point. This is known as Exhaustion Pullback. You are making your trading plan based on the bounce/reversal or breakout of the support and resistance (S&R).
You should trade now based on rejection reversal. This is a sign that the price action is running out of steam. This indicates that there are not enough committed traders to break the support and resistance (S&R).
MACD is also used as an overbought/ oversold indicator or oscillator. Suppose you see that it has reached its overbought/ oversold range. The price action is turning normal. This is a signal that you should avoid trading at this time.
Dont think that it is overbought and everyone is buying. Dont confuse the overbought/ oversold MACD zones as trade opportunities. However, when the price reaches its extreme, you will see price exhaust and the MACD line drop back into normal zone.
These two situations along with your other tools can provide excellent trading opportunities. It is also important to note that divergence can not only be found on the MACD line and the signal line, it can also be found on the histogram. - 23305
About the Author:
Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Discover A Revolutionary New Forex Robot. Develop your own Forex Trading System.
posted by Mr. Forex at
1:39 AM
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