New Forex Trading Strategy

Monday, August 17, 2009

Descending Triangles -Short Trading Strategy

By Jeff Cartridge

The descending triangle is the most profitable chart pattern when trading short. The descending triangle is formed with the lower boundary of the price movement contained by a line close to horizontal and the top line slopes down toward the bottom line.

Descending Triangles Profitable, No Surprise

Most descending triangles would be expected to break down and in fact 57%, break out to the downside making this pattern best when traded on the short side. 45% of these breakouts are profitable and on average the profit per trade is 0.92% over a period of 9 days. A good proportion, 12.1% of these breakouts make a profit of 10% or more. The descending triangle is one of the best chart patterns when it breaks to the downside and applying some filters makes this pattern even more attractive to trade.

Specific Setups to Improve Profitability

A break to the downside works better in a falling market or sector environment. By using filters that require the market to be in a consolidation or a down trend you can improve the results. The sector should also be in a down trend for the best results. Strangely a sector that is in a down trend at the beginning of the pattern produces better results than a sector in a down trend when the breakout occurs.

A breakout from a descending triangle can occur anywhere on the way to the point of the pattern; it is not important exactly where the breakout occurs. The best trades occur when a down side break occurs after the stock bounces off the lower boundary and drops back before hitting the upper boundary.

If volume supports a descending triangle breakout then the profitability of the trades improves. For volume to support the breakout, volume when the stock is going down should be greater than volume when the stock is going up.

Trading Descending Triangles Can Be Profitable

Following a series of simple rules to determine which descending triangle to trade can improve results dramatically. By applying these filters descending triangles are profitable on 48% of the trades and return an average of 2.55% per trade in 10 days. This is a very profitable pattern to trade.

Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23305

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New Innovations From Today's Hot Stocks Makes Trading Easier

By Ben Gosse

Any investor is aware that investing is a little like gambling. There are no guarantees that your investments will produce the returns you expect. Hot stocks can be an especially risky market. That's why, when I came across Today's Hot Stocks while I was doing some market research I doubted that it would work the way they claimed.

Hot stocks are a volatile market with lots of variables. I wasn't sure that a computer program could really keep track of everything and pick the winners. Since there was a sixty day trial with a money back guarantee, I figured I didn't really have anything to lose. Since the alerts usually come twenty four hours before I have to take an action, I thought it was worth a try.

I signed up for the Today's Hot Stocks newsletter six months ago and I haven't looked back. The program doe everything it says it will do and I have been making a great return on my hot stocks. Sure, I've had occasional losers, but not as many as I had before trying this newsletter. The returns on the winners have been better than most of my own picks.

Investing in hot stocks is a risky business and I'd never recommend it as a single strategy for investing. That said, as part of an overall investment strategy, hot stocks can be very profitable if you choose your issues carefully. Today's Hot Stocks newsletter and email alerts help you do just that. In addition, it is crucial to know when to sell, and Today's Hot Stocks takes away a lot of the guesswork. Intuition is great, but notoriously unreliable for most people.

The newsletter isn't free. Some people may have a problem with that. I consider my monthly fee as part of my investment. I'm making more than enough to cover the fee by using the hot stocks information, so it's certainly proved worth the investment to me.

I admit that I like the money back guarantee. Today's Hot Stocks allows you to try the newsletter and email alerts for up to sixty days, and if you aren't happy they will give you a full refund. I thought I'd be getting that refund, but I am more than satisfied with my results and I'm happy to keep paying for their advice. I wouldn't even be in this great market if it wasn't for Today's Hot Stocks, and of course, my friend.

Sure you can get free advice on hot stocks, but you usually get what you pay for. Free advice isn't necessarily good advice. The software used by hot stocks is remarkably accurate. OK, the market doesn't always behave predictably and sometimes you may suffer a loss, but the program does help to minimize your losses and takes your emotions out of the equation.

I can only say that I am definitely getting my money's worth and more from the Today's Hot Stocks newsletter. If you are in the hot stocks market, i strongly suggest you try it, even if only for the sixty day trial. You won't lose anything, and like me, you may decide that your subscription is worth every cent. - 23305

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System Trading - Do You Have a Trading System?

By Maclin Vestor

A trading system is a methodology of trading. An investor who uses one system and follows a specific set of guidelines when making a decision, follows system trading, and will usually never deviate. A trading system is only one method of trading, and usual requires no thinking. It is possible to have one system that is governed by multiple system.

For example, to have 10 different systems, and select only one stock from each system every month according to the main system's qualifications.

Someone that uses several Trading Systems is a multiple system trader. They have to either have an overall system that encompasses all of them, or make their own decision on which to follow. Doing so can be dangerous, as the purpose of system is to prevent human error. It is advised to be a system trader who trades one system at a time, or trade multiple systems within a larger core system, and avoid being a multiple systems trader.

Trading System - Trading can be awfully hectic without some kind of methodology. You can't expect to take on the best traders in the world who have teams and resources at their disposal just by throwing around money at will hoping that it works. You need an actually defined system in order to be able to trade effectively.

Many successful systems are based on earnings and high potential for growth. Stockbee's trading system often swings for the fences. As a result, it requires a solid degree of protection. Obviously you shouldn't limit yourself to someone else's system, you need to find one that is right for you.

There are two kinds of traders, technical traders, and fundamental traders, each has their own system. Of course there are some who use both.

Technical traders

Some system traders, are day traders. Others are swing traders. Still other people are more of a trend trader. Each will have it's unique system. The system will be based on the technicals. Is it volume that triggers the buy? Is it price movement? A combination of both? Or perhaps it's pattern trading.

Some people even have trading machines or robots that do the work for them. Others rely on pattern recognition done by a system. The method is to sign up for email alerts, or some form of alerts, then make a purchase based on the software's recommendation. There are some people that screen down a stock based on strong fundamentals, and only trade those stocks, but trade them based on the technical chart patterns and volume.

They will sell based on a trend break, or rules on when to take gains such as 20% gain according to their system. They will set a stop loss based on their system as well. It might be 4%, or 8%, or it may be a trailing stop.

Fundamental traders

Fundamental traders might do things a little differently. They are looking for improving fundamentals, or stocks that pass through a certain screener. Zacks.com is a great resource if you want to rely on fundamentals. Earnings is always a big part of a system, and the Zacks' ranking uses earnings revision to get in early when the earnings and company internals appear to be improving. Zacks' has several screens, and their software allows you to screen stocks according to many different options.

Regardless of your trading system, one thing remains important in every single system. Money Management and loss protection.

It doesn't matter what the upside is or win rate is, if you can't protect yourself from major declines, you shouldn't be trading. I don't care if your system is 90% effective (no system is and if they say they are, they're lying), and if the gain is 1,000%. If you put all your money on it repeatedly, eventually you will suffer a loss so catastrophic you will never be able to recover without borrowing money. By taking one loss, you hinder your ability to make money. That is more costly then the potential for greater gains that you would gain by taking additional risk.

Just to illustrate if your system causes you to take a 95% loss, you need a 2000% return just to make up for that loss. You cannot trade like this. No system is better then it's weakest link. That weak link unfortunately for many people is the ability to manage money. Fortunately, it is a skill that can be learned, and doing so will make you a better trader. Better yet, if you do not wish to be a better trader, you can simply follow the rules of a system that contains a methodology on how to manage money and how much to invest before placing a trade.

I recommend that you either have a trailing stop or a hard stop. You can also buy a protective put if you are afraid of a stock bottoming out overnight and plummeting through the stop. Protective puts are like owning insurance. Unfortunately, you have to continue to buy the insurance as it eventually expires if you don't use it. Don't trade options without learning everything about them.

Some puts are not good for some strategies. Longer term trades and Investments will require long-term equity anticipation securities, or LEAPs, where as you may not need to risk as much capital for short term protective puts. A trailing stop should be usually 20%, where a hard stop should be more like 7%. Different systems will require different stops so take this with a grain of salt.

A good investor or trader actually will rarely need to ever be fully invested. There are people that trade on complete margin for a few times the entire year, and the rest of the year they're on the sideline, but generally the best traders that have a career that lasts have lots of money on the side, even more so if they use options and are unhedged. If you are unhedged, that is only playing one side of the market, (all buys, or only playing one theme such as only playing inflation or only playing deflation), you need to have even more cash on the side.

The lower the win rate, the more money on the side you need, and the smaller your positions should be. Any good system won't require you to analyze. Having to do a lot of the thinking can cause you to panic and make incorrect decisions. Most people aren't cut out for that, and that's why it is a smart thing for many to use a trading system.

If you trade within a system, you have a much better chance at placing winning trades. A trading system will have a solid record of success, evidence that it works and has been working, an understanding of the decline and proper money management planning. If you trade within a system, you can estimate your results, and by doing so attain measurable success consistently with a trading system. - 23305

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Improve Work Order Management

By Layla Vanderbilt

Managing investment property is not simple. You worry concerning the maintenance, and receiving rent payments. The broken appliances happen at odd hours and solving occupant complaints takes up valuable time. It takes additional of their time and currency to maintain. Unluckily, investors quick become weighed behind as the investment maintenance is additional work than predictable. The solution for a lot of investors, then, is to hire a reputable property management company to take above managing the property.

A proficient property management company always reduces the investor?s burden by repairing the problems in the property and also by maintaining very good records. Your business will be streamlined if the company agrees to execute all the services upon the agreed fee.Hence, what are criteria upon which we can consider in hiring a manager for your property?

Company fees are a major aspect in the decision making process, so do your research. For a large rental property, the national average is around 4 percent of the property's income. The national average for a single home is around 12 percent. Before you sign a contract, be sure to do your research on fees charged, payment schedules and the services included. What will their fees cover, and how will payments be made? How will they deal with other expenses not included with these fees, such as repairs and insurance premiums? Some send invoices, while others include these expenses with their fees.

It's a good idea to hire a reputable property management company, so find out about other properties that they have managed. Ask for the addresses of these properties and see how they are doing. Also, the property management you hire should have experience with the type of investment you own. A manager with experience in single home management may not be a good match for a job with an apartment building.

Speak with the real person who will be handling the property whenever probable. Good contact with those you hire must start early in the relationship. Get references from their preceding skill. The property management company will be clever to show you the types of advertising they do. It will be not comparable for all media. Do they have a web presence? Is it easy to navigate?

Other questions to be enquired are of hiring cleaning contractors for preparing vacancies and can the cleaning be done quickly to ensure you are not losing valuable time and money while the place is prepared for tenants?,do they have contractors for repair and landscaping needs?,what are the hours the property management company is available and if they are available after working hours for emergencies?,how close is the management office located to the investment property?.Also their viability of approach.Another aspect that should be kept in mind is their proximity to the investment property to solve the problems as they occur.

A life of an investor can be very busy, and hiring a property management company can streamline the investor's business. The work that a property management company handles can be more than what an investor can handle. With the property managed, the owner can look into other investments. Just be sure to do your research before hiring so you can guarantee quality work. - 23305

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Explore Ways to Learn Forex Online

By Jane MacRae

Forex (or foreign exchange) trading presents small, independent investors with an exciting opportunity to make money. However, before you dive into this type of investing, it is important to learn as much about the forex market as possible. Fortunately, there are plenty of ways to learn forex online.

* Learn the Jargon

To play in any financial market, you will first need to speak the language in that particular field. To do so, you can simply go to your favorite search engine and type in "forex terms" or "forex jargon". You will then be taken to a list of relevant pages. Select a good jargon list, and commit some of your time to get yourself with these terms. This will definitely give you some advantage, especially if you are beginner investor.

* Take Free Online Courses

There are many free online courses designed to teach you the ins and outs of forex currency trading. Taking one of these courses will definitely be worth your time. Again, to find a free course, you can go to your favorite search engine and type "free online forex course" into the search box. Or you can go to a message board frequented by investors and ask if anyone there knows of any good, free courses you should try.

* Learn From the Experienced

An alternative to the free route is the paid options, and it is more suitable for those who have already had some investing practise. Look for those experts who provide teaching or mentoring services online. You have to pay for participation, but it may be worthwhile to have a personal tutor, or a mentor who will be there to answer any of your questions, and help clear up anything you find confusing.

Check with people in the market and listen to their recommendations for a good paid online course. Often, those who were once in the same boat as you are in now will be more than happy to help you out.

* Try the Free Demo

When you feel you have had enough knowledge, you will want to have some real experience. A smart way to go about, without putting your pocket at risk, is to sign up for a demo or test account with transaction sites that offer such, and most of them do. For about thirty days, in most cases, you can actually try your hands at forex trading for free. These demo accounts will not only let you know whether you are ready to risk your money on the real thing, they will also help you gain hands-on experience.

As you can see, there are a number of ways you can learn Forex online. It is true that Forex trading has opened up a whole world of possibilities to average Joe investors, but you should stay calm. There is no short cut to success in any market, and your investment in education can pave the road for you. - 23305

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