New Forex Trading Strategy

Saturday, August 29, 2009

How A Computer Reads A Stock Chart - Secret Million Dollar Algorithm Revealed

By Fred Nogle

Looking at a stock chart is not how I pick winners. Don't get me wrong, I do look at stock charts but they are not how I pick 100% baggers. I'm going to show you the exact formula I use to pick winner after winner.

This is not about using technical analysis to read a stock chart. It is something much more effective.

I got this secret algorithm from the crowd of the world's best traders that I run with. This algorithm has the potential of putting you in stocks that can return 100%, 200% even 1,000% and more!

This crazy simple formula can make any computer seem to actually be able to read a stock chart and predict future price action better than a human. Many years ago, software used statistics and models for processing. This secret algorithm goes way beyond that. It's like having 100 stock analysts and day traders inside your computer giving you recommendations!

I know a millionaire trader who swears by this formula and now I'm going to give you his formula for free.

So you are probably wondering why I'm giving this away free. Well, I'm hoping you will make a lot of money from this formula and become a subscriber to my blog. That's fair.

The first component of this formula is to determine the trend. What you want are the daily moving averages in three time frames: the 10 day MA, 20 day MA, and 50 day MA. Here is the first part of the formula: 10 day MA greater than 20 day MA greater than 50 day MA. In other words the 10 day MA is higher than the 20 day MA which in turn is higher than the 50 day MA. If the stock you are looking at meets this criteria, then move on to the next component in this formula. If it does not, go back and keep looking for a stock until you find one that does.

The next step in this secret formula is to examine the last hour of trading on the previous day. If it has closed above the 5 hour MA, move to the next step. It is hasn't toss the stock out and pick a better one.

In this step we must look at the stock's 3 day high. If it is at a 3 day high, you can keep reading the next step below. If not, you need to ditch the stock and start over again with another stock.

The next component in this formula is if the last price of the stock is above the 20 day MA. If it is, move on, if not, reject and start over.

In this step, we need to look at the previous week of trading and then 2 weeks before that. If the stock hit a 3 week high in the last week of trading, that is excellent, keep reading. If not, say goodbye to the stock and start over again with another stock.

The final component in this formula is if the stock has hit a 3 month high in the last month (the previous full month of trading). - 23305

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Stock Brokers are All Competing for Our Money

By Danny Jamerson

Many mistakes, many years later and stand before you is a man who knows about stock brokers. I've almost tried them all so I can quickly tell whether the interface is good or not, without making a single trade. Here's what I think about the different brokers.

Zecco stomped onto the industry with unlimited free trades. It was a big mistake because it was an unsustainable business model. Now, it only offers ten free trades if you have $25,000 in your account.

OptionsHouse is relatively new but it's making headlines as it provides stock trades at $2.95 per trade. The options pricing is very attractive as well at $9.95 flat fee, making it one of the cheapest brokers out there. There's no bank or anything, but the cost may win you over.

TradeKing used to be the leader with $4.95 stock trades but other people have surpassed them to be the pricing leader. However, this broker has ultra responsive support which might be the determining factor for many.

OptionsXpress trouts itself as the best options broker and it certainly has great options trading tools. Price wise, it's not the cheapest but if you are looking for good education and great trading tools, look no further.

Scottrade is not really promoting its business like it should but it does offer a solid platform for traders. At $7 a trade, it is middle of the pack in terms of price and middle of the pack in terms of features.

TD Ameritrade used to dominate but it is not very good. The interface is outdated and the pricing is high. I don't think they are gathering many new comers these days and just servicing old ones.

Etrade, despite its troubles with the mortgage industry is still one of the best stock brokers out there. It has a banking side where you can get high rates, it has a checking account where you can get free ATM withdraws anywhere and you can also trade stocks. - 23305

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Selecting A Forex Trading System

By Bart Icles

The foreign exchange market grows more and more attractive as each trading passes. Investors are not only attracted by the sizeable profits that it can offer, they also want to know if they can really cope with the changing trends of the market. To achieve a more manageable trading experience, investors - both beginners and seasoned traders alike - use forex trading systems. It can be tricky to select a forex trading system that would best suit your needs so it is important to take note of some basics.

In the forex world, investors cannot simply tell what lies ahead of them and those who do not do something about this end up losing money and they eventually give up on forex trading. However, a wise investor would not totally give up on trading if he or she loses money. Instead, a wise investor would just take a step back and review the situation at hand and then go back to trading again. In a situation such as this, it helps to have a forex trading system that can help you get off on the right foot. Doing so, you will be able to save some money for yourself and hopefully become the next most profitable forex trader.

Different kinds of forex trading systems are available and they are based on the different kinds of traders that exist in the forex world. There are three types of forex traders in the currency market. The short term trader, also known as the scalper, likes to open and close a trade in just a matter of minutes. This type of trader takes advantage of the smaller movements in forex rates and large amounts of leverage. The long term trader looks forward to holding positions for months and months on end, and sometimes even years by making decisions based on long-term factors. In between these two are the medium term traders who hold positions for a couple of days by taking advantage of technical situations that appear to be more opportunistic.

To determine which forex trading system would best work for you, it helps to know what kind of trader you would want to become. Short term traders can lose large amounts of capital in just a matter of minutes but they are also able to realize profits faster. Medium term traders can safely hold their positions but they can easily miss out on big opportunities. Long term investors reap in the largest amounts of profit but they also require large investments to cover losses brought about by unpredictable movements.

In choosing a forex trading system, choose one that can be adjusted to your trading personality and your needs. Do not choose a system based on the needs of other traders because this simply will not help. Choose one that will allow you to be more creative on your side of the market, one that can help you achieve your goals in your forex career. - 23305

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Money Management in Trading Systems

By Maclin Vestor

How to manage money when buying stocks, futures, or options -- what you must know before you buy.

Many people have a very crucial problem, they take on more risk than they can. It really doesn't matter if you're very young, if you take risk to the extreme and continue down that path, you will by mathematical law in all probability lose money.

Lets say you had an almost sure investment that was 85% likely to succeed. When it succeeded you double your money. You put all your money on it. The problem is, when the investment fails, you lose everything. Now it is just a fact that you will eventually lose everything if you continue to invest everything. You only need one trade and you are wiped out completely. Now, even if you invested 90% of your money on an investment that would win 80% of the time, you still are taking on too much risk to win in the long run. If you lose once, you will need a 1000% return just to get back to even. That simply will not happen forever, and even if it did, the large loss would limit your potential for gain so much, that you'd be better off not taking on the maximum risk.

Now, your risk of losing everything can never be completely 100% eliminated, even with conservative strategies. If you flip enough coins, eventually you'll get a very rare event such as 100 heads in a row. However, you'll also get 100 tails in a row. The idea is that you have a strategy that yields you more when you win, and/or wins more than it loses. in this case there will be several losses in a row, but there will also be several wins in a row. If you manage your money properly, you will still have enough money if you get several losses in a row, to be able to more than make up for it when you get several wins in a row. If you are forced to limit the amount of capital after so many losses, that you cannot invest with the same amount after the losses, you may be unable to win enough to make up for those losses. The idea is to keep your investments small enough to limit the chances of that happening. Although almost nothing is a sure thing, by using proper money management, you tip the odds in your favor.

Even if you have a profitable method, if you do not manage your risk, your profitable method becomes unprofitable. It's not usually the investment vehicle, it's the investor that ultimately determines how quickly you fail, and ultimately whether you are able to succeed. Under the same context, it's not usually the type of car, but the driver that determines whether you cause an accident. In order to protect yourself, you must keep your positions at a manageable level, and make sure to keep yourself limited by these rules that will limit your risk of ruin and keep the odds in your favor so you can stay in the game.

So how exactly does one manage money in a trading system? You need to determine probability of a move taking place. If you buy OTM option, the stock will have to move larger for success to occur. Of course if it does, the reward will be greater. There are probability curves based on a random walk theory that will assist you in determining the probability of a move taking place, until you know any better, use these. However, you also should use your own records of your system Determine both your risk/reward (your average % win divided by your average percentage losses, and in addition figure out your likelihood of success. When you do this, you can use what's known as the Kelly Criterion By using the formula as follows Kelly % = W - [(1 - W) / R] Kelly % = The maximum percentage of your capital you should invest per position. W = Winning probability R = Win/loss ratio

A trading system that contains good money management rules will not only outperform one without, but it will also help protect your capital, and keep you in the game. - 23305

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